Skip to main content Skip to site footer

You are using an outdated browser. Please upgrade your browser to improve your experience.

Archinomics Weekly - Monday 20th September 2021

2 years ago

the
MARKETS

Equities

Most major stock markets fell last week, as concerns over Covid-19 and economic growth dampened risk sentiment. In the US, the S&P 500 fell 0.6%, while the tech-focused Nasdaq lost 0.7%. In Europe, the Euro Stoxx lost 0.9% - although the Spanish and Italian markets were slightly higher. Chinese stock markets fell sharply, pushed lower by fresh Covid-19 outbreaks and the ongoing debt crisis at Evergrande.

Bonds

US 10-year Treasury yields rose (and prices fell) over the week, on the back of strong retail and manufacturing data. European government bond yields followed suit. Investment grade credit markets were stronger in the US but weaker in Europe.

Currencies

The safe-haven US dollar saw inflows, and the US Dollar Index rose 0.7%. The Japanese yen also rose over the week, while the euro and sterling were weaker.

Commodities

The oil price rose last week, with Brent Crude gaining 3.3% to finish at $75.30 per barrel. Gold was 1.9% lower at $1,754 per ounce. Copper – and the wider industrial metals sector – also fell over the week.

Responsible investing

The US and EU made a joint agreement to reduce methane emissions by 30% over the next decade. Methane has a global warming potential more than 80 times greater than carbon dioxide over a 20-year period.

MACROECONOMIC
UPDATE

US CPI inflation came in below expectations, at an annualised rate of 4% for August.


An unpublished report from the European Central Bank suggested that the bank expects to hit its inflation target in two years.


In China, August Industrial Production of 5.3% year-on-year failed to match forecasts, as orders were turned away due to current delivery constrictions.

on the
RADAR

The US Federal Reserve meeting later in the week could give new insight into the central bank’s current thinking, in particular over the tapering of its bond buying programme.


On 26 September the German public will vote for a new Bundestag (or federal parliament), with expectations for a coalition of two or three parties to emerge. 

Latest investment news

Market Snapshot - April 2024

Article | Investments | 03/05/2024

With US jobs growth remaining strong and inflation proving stickier than expected, speculation grew that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would delay cutting rates until the end of 2024.

Monthly Review - April 2024

Article | Investments | 02/05/2024

In agricultural commodity markets, cocoa soared after adverse weather brought a poor harvest, forcing chocolate prices higher. Among precious metals, gold hit successive record highs, responding to sticky US inflation and uncertainty over the path of interest rates. 

Will the Fed be the last to cut?

Article | Investments | 02/05/2024

Market expectations for US interest rate cuts have seen a sea change since the start of 2024. Confident forecasts of six quarter point cuts have shrunk to fewer than two cuts by year end. Some commentators even predict that rates will be forced to rise again, with options markets pricing a 20% chance of a rate hike. 

We use cookies to give you the best possible experience of our website. If you continue, we'll assume you are happy for your web browser to receive all cookies from our website. See our cookie policy for more information on cookies and how to manage them.